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10 Option to expand : Here the project is built with capacity in excess of the expected level of output so that it can produce at higher rate if needed.
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Recently, real options have been employed in business strategy, both for valuation purposes and as a conceptual framework.
Under ROV, however: (a) managements' actions actually change the risk characteristics of the project in question, and hence (b) the Required rate of return could differ depending on what state was realised, and a premium over risk free would be required, invalidating (technically) the risk.Once resolved, management has the option to proceed or not with the development of the other projects.Further reading edit Applications Evaluating Natural Resource Investments, Michael Brennan and Eduardo Schwartz, winning ugly brad gilbert free download pdf ucla Anderson.The next and last tool for portfolio returns measurement is Time Weighted rate Of Return.Options relating to project size edit Where the project's scope is uncertain, flexibility as to the size of the relevant facilities is valuable, and constitutes optionality.Step 3- Compound the holding period returns to obtain an annual rate of return for the year.Let us now begin with the discussion of NPV.Assuming higher terminal value ( 3-4) is like assuming the company to grow bigger than the world economy in the infinity, which isnt possible."Volatility estimation in Real Options".The internal rate of return (IRR) is that discount rate which makes net present value equal to zero.Lets discuss all four types of yields with the help of an example.Holding period return is a very basic way to measure how much return you have obtained on a particular investment.A flexible manufacturing system (FMS) is a good example of this type of option.Investment strategist for Credit Suisse First Boston.A b c d Timothy Luehrman: "Investment Opportunities as Real Options: Getting Started on the Numbers".Net Present Value or NPV is the difference between the present value of cash inflows and the present value of cash outflows.Cited in McKinsey Anthology 2011 - Have You Tested Your Strategy Lately.These calculations provide you with numbers for all the possible future values of the option at the various points where a decision is needed on whether to continue with the project.